Thursday, July 20, 2006
Check but not Checkmate
With the recent reshuffle of battlion commander in strategic units around Bangkok, it looks like Thaksin is being outmaneuvered for the moment. This recent round of posturing starts with the mention of "Poo Mi Barami" in front of top civil service officials a few weeks ago. Now it looks like yet another miscalculated move by Thaksin. Major armed forces figure, in particular, the head of the 3rd Army had come out strongly opposing him. With the crucial Bangkok infantry and cavalry units neutralized, it's like someone pull a rug from underneath Thaksin.
Thaksin is down but not out though. All alignment and realignment of loyalties in the Army no doubt have strategic values, but it's unclear whether it's actually going to be useful in a real struggle. I mean if this 'nuclear option' is used, it's going to be, well, hurting everyone dearly. So Thaksin may actually call the bluff.
This saga will not end too soon.
With the recent reshuffle of battlion commander in strategic units around Bangkok, it looks like Thaksin is being outmaneuvered for the moment. This recent round of posturing starts with the mention of "Poo Mi Barami" in front of top civil service officials a few weeks ago. Now it looks like yet another miscalculated move by Thaksin. Major armed forces figure, in particular, the head of the 3rd Army had come out strongly opposing him. With the crucial Bangkok infantry and cavalry units neutralized, it's like someone pull a rug from underneath Thaksin.
Thaksin is down but not out though. All alignment and realignment of loyalties in the Army no doubt have strategic values, but it's unclear whether it's actually going to be useful in a real struggle. I mean if this 'nuclear option' is used, it's going to be, well, hurting everyone dearly. So Thaksin may actually call the bluff.
This saga will not end too soon.
# posted by tectona @ 3:34 PM 
